Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 6.989986 7.699917 8.457850 9.328442 10.302296 11.359761 12.597174
2025-11-02 5.689815 6.625416 7.688970 8.992120 10.552086 12.367234 14.650459
2025-11-09 4.760741 5.813133 7.075912 8.713099 10.794473 13.372007 16.836311
2025-11-16 4.086667 5.202754 6.607582 8.523566 11.096218 14.470292 19.295196
2025-11-23 3.587792 4.740775 6.255638 8.418854 11.472950 15.697949 22.103637
2025-11-30 3.268576 4.469822 6.112159 8.560701 12.186123 17.464985 25.937386
2025-12-07 2.935452 4.136811 5.837846 8.472966 12.545035 18.756483 29.261963
2025-12-14 2.625601 3.800040 5.515598 8.266237 12.684663 19.717485 32.203850
2025-12-21 2.403091 3.566191 5.315908 8.214687 13.047420 21.063562 35.989404
2025-12-28 2.268607 3.450270 5.280131 8.411756 13.830465 23.200738 41.516921
2026-01-04 2.141151 3.331165 5.224149 8.563710 14.548392 25.315635 47.370476
2026-01-11 2.003890 3.182247 5.102958 8.586813 15.034906 27.070731 52.830976
2026-01-18 1.856580 3.006387 4.924669 8.498099 15.321701 28.523667 58.029198
2026-01-25 1.719753 2.836203 4.740026 8.377101 15.531889 29.859796 63.254328
2026-02-01 1.594438 2.675034 4.556048 8.236387 15.684411 31.101158 68.526035
2026-02-08 1.487685 2.537448 4.401439 8.133923 15.899337 32.504400 74.475864
2026-02-15 1.398636 2.424137 4.280651 8.083551 16.214355 34.171830 81.439341
2026-02-22 1.345901 2.372639 4.269957 8.251714 17.017952 37.067391 92.230250
2026-03-01 1.269461 2.270624 4.153598 8.188757 17.301490 38.790613 100.273544
2026-03-08 1.185787 2.148462 3.987667 8.003357 17.281780 39.775030 106.469037
2026-03-15 1.125219 2.066217 3.893635 7.962416 17.592411 41.631835 115.680868
2026-03-22 1.093760 2.038491 3.906793 8.158486 18.496997 45.174310 131.006060
2026-03-29 1.059672 2.002825 3.900337 8.309160 19.310449 48.618634 146.997106